Primary Voting Intention (%) (2013-2022)
House of Representatives
House of Representatives
| ALP | L-NP | The Greens | One Nation | NXT/ Centre Alliance | Ind./Others | |
| Recent Election Results | % | % | % | % | % | % |
| Election, May 21, 2022 | 32.6 | 35.7 (3.8) | 12.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 14.1 |
| Election, May 18, 2019 | 33.3 | 41.4 (4.8) | 10.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 11.5 |
| Election, July 2, 2016 | 34.7 | 42.0 (4.8) | 10.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 9.9 |
| Election, September 7, 2013 | 33.4 | 45.5 (4.3) | 8.7 | 0.2 | n/a | 12.2 |
| Election, August 21, 2010 | 38.0 | 43.6 (3.7) | 11.8 | 0.2 | n/a | 6.4 |
| Election November 24, 2007 | 43.4 | 42.1 (5.9) | 7.8 | 0.3 | n/a | 6.4 |
| Election October 9, 2004 | 37.6 | 46.4 (5.9) | 7.2 | 1.2 | n/a | 7.6 |
| Election November 10, 2001 | 37.8 | 43.0 (5.6) | 4.4 | 4.3 | n/a | 9.6 |
| Election October 3^, 1998 | 40.1 | 39.5 (5.3) | 2.1 | 8.4 | n/a | 9.9 |
| Election March 2, 1996 | 38.8 | 47.3 (8.6) | 1.7 | 0.3 | n/a | 11.9 |
| Roy Morgan Poll Results | % | % | % | % | % | % |
| May 9-15, 2022 | 34 | 34 (3.5) | 13 | 4 | n/a | 15 |
| May 2-8, 2022 | 35.5 | 34 (4) | 13 | 4 | n/a | 13.5 |
| April 25 - May 1, 2022 | 35 | 35 (3) | 13 | 3 | n/a | 14 |
| April 18-24, 2022 | 35 | 35.5 (3.5) | 12 | 4.5 | n/a | 13 |
| April 11-17, 2022 | 35 | 35.5 (3) | 14 | 4.5 | n/a | 11 |
| April 4-10, 2022 | 36 | 32.5 (3.5) | 12.5 | 5 | n/a | 14 |
| March 28 - April 3, 2022 | 39.5 | 33 (2.5) | 11 | 3.5 | n/a | 13 |
| March 21-27, 2022 | 35.5 | 33 (2.5) | 12.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 15.5 |
| March 14-20, 2022 | 37.5 | 31 (3) | 12 | 3 | n/a | 16.5 |
| March 3-13, 2022 | 37 | 33.5 (3) | 11.5 | 3 | n/a | 15 |
| February 24 - March 2, 2022 | 37.5 | 34 (2.5) | 11.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 13.5 |
| February 14-23, 2022 | 37.5 | 32.5 (4) | 12.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 14 |
| January 31 - February 13, 2022 | 38.5 | 33 (3) | 11.5 | 4 | n/a | 13 |
| January 17-30, 2022 | 37.5 | 33 (3) | 11.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 14.5 |
| January 4-16, 2022 | 37 | 34.5 (3.5) | 12 | 3 | n/a | 13.5 |
| 2022 | ||||||
| December 11/12 & 18/19, 2021 | 37 | 34.5 (2.5) | 11.5 | 4 | n/a | 13 |
| November 27/28 & December 4/5, 2021 | 36 | 34.5 (3.5) | 12.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 13.5 |
| November 13/14 & 20/21, 2021 | 35.5 | 35.5 (4) | 12 | 3.5 | n/a | 13.5 |
| October 30/31 & November 6/7, 2021 | 35 | 36.5 (4) | 11.5 | 3 | n/a | 14 |
| October 16/17 & 23/24, 2021 | 35 | 36.5 (4) | 13.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 11.5 |
| October 2/3 & 9/10, 2021 | 36 | 37.5 (4.5) | 11.5 | 3 | n/a | 12 |
| September 18/19 & 25/26, 2021 | 36 | 36 (3.5) | 12.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 12 |
| September 4/5 & 11/12, 2021 | 35 | 38.5 (3.5) | 13 | 3 | n/a | 10.5 |
| August 21/22 & 28/29, 2021 | 38.5 | 37.5 (3.5) | 11.5 | 3 | n/a | 9.5 |
| August 7/8 & 14/15, 2021 | 37.5 | 37.5 (4) | 12.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 9 |
| July 24/25 & 31/ August 1, 2021 | 37 | 37 (3) | 12.5 | 3 | n/a | 10.5 |
| July 10/11 & 17/18, 2021 | 37 | 39 (4.5) | 11.5 | 3 | n/a | 9.5 |
| June 12/13 & 19/20, 2021 | 34.5 | 41.5 (3.5) | 12 | 3.5 | n/a | 8.5 |
| May 29/30 & June 5/6, 2021 | 35.5 | 40 (3.5) | 11.5 | 3 | n/a | 10 |
| March 6/7 & 13/14, 2021 | 34.5 | 41 (3.5) | 12.5 | 2.5 | n/a | 9.5 |
| February 6/7 & 13/14, 2021 | 34.5 | 40 (4) | 13 | 3.5 | n/a | 9 |
| 2021 | ||||||
| November 14/15 & 21/22, 2020 | 34 | 42 (3.5) | 12 | 4 | n/a | 8 |
| October 17/18 & 24/25, 2020 | 34 | 42.5 (3.5) | 12 | 4 | n/a | 7.5 |
| August 8/9 & 15/16, 2020 | 32.5 | 46 (3.5) | 11 | 3 | n/a | 7.5 |
| July 11/12 & 18/19, 2020 | 33.5 | 43.5 (3) | 11 | 2.5 | n/a | 9.5 |
| June 13/14 & 20/21, 2020 | 34.5 | 42.5 (3.5) | 10.5 | 4 | n/a | 8.5 |
| May 16/17 & 23/24, 2020 | 33 | 44.5 (3.5) | 11 | 3.5 | n/a | 8 |
| April 18/19 & 25/26, 2020 | 33 | 43.5 (3) | 11.5 | 3 | n/a | 9 |
| February 28/March 1 & 7/8, 2020 | 36 | 36.5 (2.5) | 11 | 4 | n/a | 12.5 |
| 2020 | ||||||
| 2019 Federal Election - May 18, 2019 | 33.3 | 41.4 (4.8) | 10.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 11.5 |
| April 20/21, 2019 | 35.5 | 39 (2.5) | 9.5 | 4.5 | n/a | 11.5 |
| April 6/7, 2019 | 35 | 37 (3) | 13.5 | 4 | n/a | 10.5 |
| March 16/17 & 23/24, 2019 | 36.5 | 34.5 (2.5) | 12.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 13 |
| February 16/17, 2019 | 34.5 | 37 (3.5) | 11.5 | 3.5 | n/a | 13.5 |
| February 2/3 & 9/10, 2019 | 36 | 34.5 (2.5) | 12.5 | 3 | n/a | 14 |
| 2019 | ||||||
| August 25/26, 2018 | 36 | 36.5 (4.5) | 13 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 11.5 |
| August 24, 2018 - Scott Morrison emerges victorious in a three way leadership ballot and becomes Prime Minister | ||||||
| August 18/29, 2018 | 34.5 | 39 (4.5) | 12 | 2 | 1 | 11.5 |
| March 17/18 & 24/25, 2018 | 35 | 40 (5.5) | 12 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 9 |
| March 3/4 & 10/11, 2018 | 36 | 36 (2.5) | 13.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 10 |
| 2018 | ||||||
| 2016 Federal Election - July 2, 2016 | 34.7 | 42 (4.8) | 10.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 9.9 |
| May 21/22 & 28/29, 2016 | 32.5 | 37.5 (3.5) | 13 | n/a | 5 | 12 |
| May 14/15, 2016 | 33 | 36.5 (3) | 15.5 | n/a | 5 | 10 |
| April 23/24, 30/ May 1, 2016 | 32.5 | 40 (3) | 13.5 | n/a | 4 | 10 |
| April 9/10 & 16/17, 2016 | 32 | 40.5 (3) | 14 | n/a | 4.5 | 9 |
| March 26/27 & April 2/3, 2016 | 31 | 42 (3.5) | 13 | n/a | 4.5 | 9.5 |
| March 12/13 & 19/20, 2016 | 33 | 40 (3.5) | 14 | n/a | 4 | 9 |
| February 27/28 & March 5/6, 2016 | 29.5 | 43 (3.5) | 13 | n/a | 5 | 9.5 |
| February 13/14 & 20/21, 2016 | 29.5 | 43.5 (3.5) | 15 | n/a | 1.5 | 10.5 |
| January 30/31 & February 6/7, 2016 | 29 | 43.5 (2.5) | 16 | n/a | 1 | 10.5 |
| January 16/17 & 23/24, 2016 | 28 | 43.5 (3) | 15 | n/a | 2 | 11.5 |
| January 2/3 & 9/10, 2016 | 29 | 47 (3) | 13 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| 2016 | ||||||
| December 5/6 & 12/13, 2015 | 27 | 48 (3) | 14.5 | n/a | n/a | 10.5 |
| November 21/22 & 28/29, 2015 | 28.5 | 46.5 (2.5) | 14 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| November 7/8 & 14/15, 2015 | 28 | 46 (2.5) | 14.5 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| October 24/25, 31 & November 1, 2015 | 28.5 | 47 (3) | 14.5 | n/a | n/a | 10 |
| October 10/11 & 17/18, 2015 | 27.5 | 46.5 (3) | 15.5 | n/a | n/a | 10.5 |
| September 26/27 & October 1-5, 2015 | 27.5 | 47 (3) | 14 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| September 19/20, 2015 | 29.5 | 46 (2.5) | 13 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| September 15, 2015 - Malcolm Turnbull challenges and defeats Tony Abbott to become Prime Minister | ||||||
| September 12/13, 2015 | 36.5 | 35 (2.5) | 16 | n/a | n/a | 12.5 |
| August 29/30 & September 5/6, 2015 | 35.5 | 36.5 (2) | 16.5 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| August 15/16 & 22/23, 2015 | 36 | 38.5 (2.5) | 14 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| August 1/2 & 8/9, 2015 | 37 | 36.5 (3) | 15.5 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| July 18/19 & 25/26, 2015 | 35.5 | 39 (2.5) | 15 | n/a | n/a | 10.5 |
| July 4/5 & 11/12, 2015 | 34.5 | 41.5 (2.5) | 13.5 | n/a | n/a | 10.5 |
| June 20/21 & 27/28, 2015 | 36 | 39 (2) | 14 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| June 6/7 & 13/14, 2015 | 37.5 | 37.5 (2.5) | 13.5 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| May 23/24 & 30/31, 2015 | 37 | 41 (3) | 13 | n/a | n/a | 9 |
| May 16/17, 2015 | 35.5 | 41.5 (3) | 12.5 | n/a | n/a | 10.5 |
| April 25/26 & May 2/3, 2015 | 37.5 | 40 (2.5) | 11.5 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| April 11/12 & 18/19, 2015 | 38 | 38.5 (2.5) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| March 28/29 & April 3-6, 2015 | 36 | 40.5 (3) | 12.5 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| March 14/15 & 21/22, 2015 | 40 | 38 (3) | 11 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| February 28/ March 1 & 7/8, 2015 | 38 | 39 (2.5) | 11.5 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| February 14/15 & 21/22, 2015 | 40.5 | 37.5 (2.5) | 10 | n/a | n/a | 12 |
| January 31/ February 1 & 7/8, 2015 | 41.5 | 35.5 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| January 23-27, 2015 | 39.5 | 37.5 (2.5) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| January 3/4 & 10/11, 2015 | 38.5 | 38.5 (2.5) | 9.5 | n/a | n/a | 13.5 |
| 2015 | ||||||
| December 6/7 & 13/14, 2014 | 41 | 35 (3) | 11.5 | n/a | n/a | 12.5 |
| November 22/23 & 29/30, 2014 | 37.5 | 39 (2.5) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| November 8/9 & 15/16, 2014 | 38.5 | 38 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| October 25/26 & November 1/2, 2014 | 37.5 | 38.5 (2) | 12.5 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| October 11/12 & 18/19, 2014 | 35.5 | 39.5 (2.5) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 13 |
| September 27/28 & October 4/5, 2014 | 35 | 40 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 13 |
| September 13/14 & 20/21, 2014 | 37.5 | 38.5 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 12 |
| August 30/31 & September 6/7, 2014 | 37 | 38 (2.5) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 14.5 |
| August 16/17 & 23/24, 2014 | 38.5 | 37.5 (2.5) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 13.5 |
| August 2/3 & 9/10, 2014 | 38 | 37.5 (2.5) | 11 | n/a | n/a | 13.5 |
| July 19/20 & 26/27, 2014 | 39 | 38 (2) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 12.5 |
| July 5/6 & 12/13, 2014 | 38.5 | 34 (2) | 11.5 | n/a | n/a | 16 |
| June 21/22 & 28/29, 2014 | 36.5 | 35 (2.5) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 16.5 |
| June 14/15, 2014 | 38 | 36.5 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 13.5 |
| June 7/8, 2014 | 42 | 33 (1.5) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 13 |
| May 24/25 & 31/ June 1, 2014 | 38 | 35 (2) | 11 | n/a | n/a | 16 |
| May 17/18, 2014 | 38.5 | 35 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 14.5 |
| April 26/27 & May 3/4, 2014 | 37 | 37.5 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 13.5 |
| April 12/13 & 19/20, 2014 | 34 | 38.5 (2) | 13 | n/a | n/a | 14.5 |
| March 29/30 & April 5/6, 2014 | 34.5 | 38.5 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 15 |
| March 15/16 & 22/23, 2014 | 38.5 | 38 (2) | 11 | n/a | n/a | 12.5 |
| March 1/2 & 8/9, 2014 | 37 | 39.5 (2) | 12 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| February 15/16 & 22/23, 2014 | 35.5 | 41 (2.5) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 13 |
| February 1/2 & 8/9, 2014 | 37 | 40.5 (2) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 12 |
| January 18/19 & 25/26, 2014 | 37 | 39.5 (2) | 11.5 | n/a | n/a | 12 |
| January 4/5 & 11/12, 2014 | 38 | 39 (2) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 12.5 |
| 2014 | ||||||
| December 7/8 & 14/15, 2013 (Multi-mode) | 38.5 | 40.5 (2) | 10 | n/a | n/a | 11 |
| November 30/ December 1, 2013 (Multi-mode) | 38.5 | 41.5 (2) | 8.5 | n/a | n/a | 11.5 |
| November 16/17, 2013 (Multi-mode) | 32.5 | 42.5 (2.5) | 11 | n/a | n/a | 14 |
| November 2/3, 2013 (Multi-mode) | 35 | 41.5 (1.5) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 13 |
| October 19/20, 2013 (Multi-mode) | 34.5 | 43.5 (2.5) | 10 | n/a | n/a | 12 |
| October 13, 2013 - Bill Shorten is elected as the new leader of the ALP over Anthony Albanese | ||||||
| October 5/6, 2013 (Multi-mode) | 37 | 42 (2) | 9 | n/a | n/a | 12 |
| September 21/22, 2013 (Multi-mode) | 34 | 43.5 (2.5) | 10.5 | n/a | n/a | 12 |
| September 7, 2013 - Tony Abbott leads the L-NP (53.5%) cf. ALP (46.5%) to Federal Election victory |
Note: ^ 1998 Federal Election results have been updated to include results from the electorate of Newcastle supplementary election. The L-NP did not have a candidate contesting the electorate of Newcastle.*An increasing proportion of Greens voters are indicating a preference for the L-NP ahead of the ALP. At the 2010 Federal Election only 20% of Greens voters preferenced the L-NP, but recent Morgan Polls have this figure closer to 40%.
